r/baseball • Forget about you long enough to forget why I needed to... • 15h ago

Serious [Serious] Next Day Thread ⚾ Padres 2 @ Brewers 3 - Contreras comes up clutch as Crew captures Game 1 win in NLDS

Padres (0-1) @ Brewers (1-0)

First Pitch: 8:38 PM at American Family Field

Team Starter TV Radio
Padres Robbie Ray (13-8, 3.59 ERA)
Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80 ERA)
MLB Fangraphs Reddit Stream Discord
Gameday Game Graph Live Comments /r/baseball Discord

Line Score - Final

  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E LOB
SD 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 1 12
MIL 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 X 3 7 0 9

ABS Challenges: SD ● ● | MIL ○ ○

Box Score

MIL   AB R H RBI BB SO BA
LF Jackson Chourio 4 1 1 2 0 0 .250
2B Brice Turang 3 0 0 0 1 1 .000
C William Contreras 3 1 1 1 1 0 .333
1B Jake Bauers 3 0 2 0 0 0 .667
DH Christian Yelich 3 0 1 0 0 0 .333
     Andrew Vaughn 1 0 1 0 0 0 1.000
SS Cooper Pratt 4 0 0 0 0 2 .000
RF Luis Lara 3 0 0 0 1 0 .000
CF Garrett Mitchell 3 1 1 0 1 1 .333
3B Joey Ortiz 4 0 0 0 0 2 .000
MIL IP H R ER BB SO P-S ERA
Jacob Misiorowski 4.0 4 2 2 1 6 88-64 4.50
Antonio Senzatela 0.2 2 0 0 1 0 11-6 0.00
Aaron Ashby 1.2 0 0 0 0 1 23-15 0.00
Abner Uribe 0.1 2 0 0 0 0 16-8 0.00
DL Hall 1.0 0 0 0 2 0 20-9 0.00
Trevor Megill 1.1 1 0 0 0 2 17-13 0.00
SD   AB R H RBI BB SO BA
2B Fernando Tatis Jr. 5 0 1 0 0 2 .250
LF Dustin Harris 4 0 2 0 1 0 .300
3B Manny Machado 4 0 2 0 1 1 .455
1B Ty France 4 0 1 0 0 1 .417
CF Jackson Merrill 5 0 0 0 0 2 .333
SS Xander Bogaerts 3 1 1 0 1 0 .455
C Ethan Salas 3 1 1 0 0 1 .250
     Miguel Andujar 1 0 0 0 0 0 .000
     Samad Taylor 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
DH Luis Campusano 3 0 1 1 1 0 .286
     Jase Bowen 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
2B Jake Cronenworth 3 0 0 1 0 2 .111
     Austin Hays 1 0 0 0 0 0 .000
     Freddy Fermin 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
SD IP H R ER BB SO P-S ERA
Robbie Ray 2.2 4 2 2 2 1 45-26 6.75
Bradgley Rodriguez 1.1 0 0 0 1 2 19-14 0.00
Yuki Matsui 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 15-8 0.00
Jason Adam 1.0 0 0 0 1 0 16-9 0.00
Adrian Morejon 2.0 3 1 1 0 2 31-20 2.25

Scoring Plays

Inning Event Score
T2 Luis Campusano singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luis Lara. Xander Bogaerts scores. Ethan Salas to 3rd. 1-0
T2 Jake Cronenworth reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Jake Bauers. Ethan Salas scores. Luis Campusano to 2nd. 2-0
B3 Jackson Chourio homers (1) on a line drive to left center field. Garrett Mitchell scores. 2-2
B7 William Contreras homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. 2-3

Highlights

Description Length
William Contreras' go-ahead solo home run 0:34
Field View: William Contreras' go-ahead solo home run 0:43
Radio call of Jake Cronenworth's spectacular play 0:28
Jake Cronenworth's spectacular diving stop 0:28
Dustin Harris' sliding catch 0:28
Jackson Chourio hammers 420-foot home run 0:33
Radio call of Jackson Chourio's two-run home run 0:26
Field View: Jackson Chourio's two-run home run 0:32
Jackson Chourio's two-run home run 0:31
Jake Cronenworth's RBI fielder's choice 0:35
Luis Campusano's RBI single 0:30
Misiorowski opens the game with 104.8 mph strike 0:07
Carlos Gomez, Teddy Higuera throw first pitches 1:21
Jenny Thiel performs national anthem ahead of Game 1 2:19
Brewers' starting lineup for NLDS Game 1 2:24
The distance behind Jackson Chourio's home run 0:13
Jackson Chourio's home run through bat tracking data 0:11
Breaking down Jacob Misiorowski's pitches 0:04
Breaking down William Contreras' home run 0:13
Visualizing William Contreras' swing using bat tracking technology 0:11
Padres lineups announced before Game 1 of NLDS 1:15
Starting lineups for Padres at Brewers - October 3, 2026 0:10
Bench availability for San Diego, October 3 vs Brewers 0:08
Bench availability for Milwaukee, October 3 vs Padres 0:08
Fielding alignment for Milwaukee, October 3 vs Padres 0:11
Bullpen availability for San Diego, October 3 vs Brewers 0:09
Bullpen availability for Milwaukee, October 3 vs Padres 0:09
Robbie Ray against the Brewers 0:09
Probable pitchers for Padres at Brewers - October 3, 2026 0:06
Attendance Weather Wind
42843 69F, Roof Closed 0 mph, None
HP 1B 2B 3B
Nick Mahrley Lance Barrett Alfonso Márquez Nic Lentz

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63 Upvotes

266 comments sorted by

•

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79

u/Extension-Click-8271 Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago edited 15h ago

Both team’s bullpens were pretty damn impressive. The late inning Tatis and Manny AB’s were brutal. Tatis flailed at 3 straight pitches and Manny watched 2 middle-middle fastballs before whiffing at the 3rd off the plate.

Credit to the Brewers for settling in after Miz got knocked out with just 4 IP. Padres went 1-9 with RISP and 12 LOB. Ouch.

29

u/DopedScope338 Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

That Machado AB was baffling. I really wish I could've been privy to the thought process that led to taking both of those first two pitches.

1

u/LighxningGG Los Angeles Dodgers • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham… 11h ago

Looked like me in The Show taking pitches until I get to 2 strikes in the count, and the pitcher knows it lmao

1

u/yoodle 10h ago

I'm a nerd but for some reason I thought of "Casey at the Bat".

1

u/lurkANDorganize 11h ago

Maybe he was thinking about all the dirty injury attempts he's made against other players and wondering if he or tatis, the player who juiced, was the greater villain in the stadium.

Hard to say Machado.

60

u/IllogicalBarnacle Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Credit to the padres for fouling off every fucking 2 strike pitch for 4 innings

17

u/Cajun-Yankee Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

Yeah credit where credit is due. It was clear their game plan was to foul off any fast ball in the strike zone and swing away at off speed pitches. The executd well, they racked up his pitch count and got 2 runs.

Honestly can't state enough how big that Chourio HR was. Completely changed the game, stole all the momentum the Padres had tediously built up.

3

u/Whatsdota Milwaukee Brewers 10h ago

That was insane. 30 fuckin foul balls in 4 innings, almost exclusively off 100+ pitches

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25

u/TheMainEffort Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

The brewers weren’t great with RISP either. Bases loaded, one out and yelich hits a shallow fly on the first pitch was brutal.

It felt like both teams got away with some mistakes and the padres just got away with one less thing.

I look forward to a long, stressful series.

67

u/Zeke688 San Francisco Giants 15h ago

I always thought ceilings were inside and roofs were outside.
Discuss amongst yourselves.

30

u/northerncal San Francisco Giants 15h ago

Sometimes roofs and ceilings are just two sides of the same entity, and we're all made of the same stuff as stars

13

u/dmolin96 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

if you think about it we are all roof

[insert Jaden smith photo]

4

u/sixpackabs592 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

A ceiling can be a roof but it isn’t always

2

u/ELITE_JordanLove 13h ago

This is probably the answer. Maybe it’s whether it’s the same general plane of material? You’d probably not wanna buy a house that has the living room ceiling also being the roof, but for a stadium that’s ok. 

11

u/acamann Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

And cables are neither

8

u/Zeke688 San Francisco Giants 15h ago

We used to get tv stations through cable, now we got that WiFi.

3

u/feeling_blue_42 Los Angeles Dodgers 10h ago

The real controversy.

3

u/uberklaus15 San Diego Padres 10h ago

Also, why is it called the "roof" of your mouth? It should be the ceiling of your mouth.

2

u/Zeke688 San Francisco Giants 10h ago

It’s the peanut butter of the mouth.

2

u/JCR2201 Los Angeles Dodgers 12h ago

“The ceiling is the roof” - Michael Jordan

2

u/fragile-spiral3 Chicago Cubs 12h ago

"The ceiling is the roof"

2

u/Ok-Grade1476 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Well when it’s open, it’s outside. So maybe it’s always outside even when closed 

3

u/Jux_ Los Angeles Dodgers • Jackie Robinson 12h ago

2

u/InevitableAfraid5111 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Now we're getting philosophical. Should a roof that opens and closes be called something else? Is Am Fam the world's most expensive convertible?

9

u/Zeke688 San Francisco Giants 15h ago

Is it a window?
I don’t think it can be a convertible without wheels.

8

u/Freakoutbob 13h ago

Wheels move the roof

2

u/InevitableAfraid5111 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

There are convertible sofas though....so it might still work.....or we could put the stadium on wheels and have home games wherever we go.

1

u/Lost_Bike69 Los Angeles Dodgers 12h ago

The bottom of it is a ceiling, the top of it is a roof

2

u/ImaManCheetahh Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

counterpoint- if I’m in the attic and I bump my head, I bumped my head on the roof. The ceiling of the house is underneath me.

2

u/ELITE_JordanLove 13h ago

I think I agree with this take; a roof includes the immediate surface on the opposite face inside that is on the same plane (ish) as what faces outside, but if there’s a large gap between the top of the room and the material that actually faces outside it’s a ceiling. 

1

u/Uranus_Hz Milwaukee Brewers 12h ago

If there is an attic between them, then yes.

57

u/sixpackabs592 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago edited 15h ago

Brewers fans today

The roof ball will take all the attention, Miz only going 4 was rough but the bullpen took care of things. Need a long start today though can’t have Ashby out for multiple innings again.

87

u/Recurs1ve San Diego Padres 15h ago

Surely we will stop taking about it, starting now.

6

u/Zeke688 San Francisco Giants 15h ago

What’s ‘it’ ? I have no idea what you’re talking about.
s/ lol

4

u/Recurs1ve San Diego Padres 15h ago

Me either honestly

10

u/awmaleg Arizona Diamondbacks 15h ago

Surely the last post on it

Now go win it all for the NLBest

-2

u/Shmexy Atlanta Braves • San Diego Padres 13h ago

It was bullshit. So no.

48

u/VersaceSamurai Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

Where were you when roof

29

u/ImNotGandalf Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

I was in my living room biting my nails when Manfred called.

"France is kil"

"Yes"

8

u/VersaceSamurai Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

4

u/ImNotGandalf Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

ONE MORE FWAR FOR

THE AM FAM SLAM CLAM ROOF

127

u/soloqueso San Diego Padres 15h ago

Were the Brewers playing under different rules last night? If not then let’s calm down and move on. It’s really annoying when people complain about rules only after they come up. The rule was always there!

25

u/Doodenmier Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

Apparently, there have been three instances of the ball hitting the roof in Miller Park history. All three instances were caught by a Brewers outfielder for an out.

It's ultra rare, but with precedent. It's just crazy how it visually looked like a potential homerun, but was curving enough to realistically be a foul, and unlucky enough to hit a beam to drop it at the warning track instead of projecting it just a little further to the wall

4

u/zinger565 Milwaukee Brewers 10h ago

Given Chourio's jump and the direction he was running before the deflection, I'd wager that was gonna curve foul.

37

u/DopedScope338 Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

An absolutely reasonable take. I love it when fans are able to set aside their feelings and be rational about stuff like this. Respect. ✊😎

8

u/ImaManCheetahh Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago edited 12h ago

tbf if we truly set aside our feelings and were rational, we wouldn’t care about sports at all 😄

3

u/Uranus_Hz Milwaukee Brewers 12h ago

We should grow Ivy up there.

10

u/SnapHackelPop Milwaukee Brewers • Seattle Mariners 15h ago

Get this level headed take outta here

10

u/GaryTheCabalGuy San Diego Padres 15h ago

I can both move on to today and think a ball hitting the ceiling counts as a ball in play is a stupid rule. Walking and chewing gum at the same time is a thing

1

u/18khcl Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

While I agree the rule isn’t perfect, hitting a towering fly ball is something that shouldn’t be completely ignored (called dead or foul). Had the Padres (or any team) have tying run on third, the ball hitting the ceiling would have been a game tying sac fly. If you just call that a foul and the batter strikes out the next pitch, then people would be mad too.

I don’t have a better rule for this, I am just saying that it’s hard to come up with a better rule.

1

u/GaryTheCabalGuy San Diego Padres 13h ago

The ball might have gone foul on its own if not for the ceiling. That's the issue. We can't know what actually happened without the ceiling there which is exactly why the play should be dead as soon as it happens. It's much more logical than just saying the ball is still in play which is the version of the rule that makes the least sense

1

u/Uranus_Hz Milwaukee Brewers 12h ago

This is the real debate.

-2

u/Magictank2000 New York Yankees 14h ago edited 14h ago

the NFL rules for similar stuff results in a replay of the down it happened on. Not sure why the ground rules in roofed stadiums call for it to be in play, should just be foul or a dead ball

15

u/BaseballsNotDead Seattle Pilots 14h ago

The ground rules for every roofed stadium regarding a ball hitting the roof is the same except for the D-Ring in Tropicana and that's only because it's physically impossible for a ball to hit the D-Ring and not be a home run.

-5

u/Magictank2000 New York Yankees 14h ago edited 14h ago

Ah. Still doesn’t change my stance lol. Rules were applied correctly last night but its a stupid rule. Ball should either be called foul or called dead

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1

u/corisilvermoon San Diego Padres 12h ago

Yeah the bigger problem is Manny lost his taste for meatballs.

194

u/NamelessFlames Chicago Cubs 15h ago

was that going to be a HR? No.

Will I blame the brewers for something? Yes.

103

u/scootastic23 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

That’s fair you cub bastard

72

u/Embarrassed_Sink_541 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

These words are accepted.

16

u/TRocho10 San Diego Padres 15h ago

Journey before destination

4

u/Embarrassed_Sink_541 Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

My man.

10

u/mkefrizz Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

Can’t believe I’m upvoting a Cubs fan, but respect

7

u/ananchor San Diego Padres 14h ago

The story of this game for SD is all the runners left on base, the stupid roof is just distracting the internet from that

37

u/ArthurMorgansInhaler Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

I appreciate and respect this take vs the dude with a 5 paragraph comment on how he knew the spin of the ball, angle it hit the beam, how it was at least a 400+ foot bomb, etc.

6

u/cptainvimes Los Angeles Dodgers 14h ago

How is this different from a dud÷ with the same 5 paragraphs of math but conclusion that it wasn't a homerun? Except he shares your opinion

23

u/qgomega Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

Because statcast is real data and the opposite perspective is just cope?

-8

u/cptainvimes Los Angeles Dodgers 14h ago

That doesn't include all variables, as far as I understand, based on what I've learned about it in the last ten hours

8

u/ArthurMorgansInhaler Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

Exactly. You knew nothing about it before and now, like everyone who wants it to be a homerun, the data is wrong despite it literally being accurate 99.999999% of the time. This was rhe 0.000001% time it was wrong though.

8

u/ArthurMorgansInhaler Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

Because that person was making shit up and basing it off his "eyes" during the game. Said person also didn't even understand how spin could push the ball more forward after hitting the beam.

9

u/Billyshears68 Chicago Cubs 13h ago

I’ve seen so many fans cheer for routine fly balls thinking they are HR’s, I can’t take anyone seriously who says “it looks like a HR”.

7

u/InevitableAfraid5111 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Something we can agree on. I would do the same were the tables turned.

2

u/Lego349 Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

Fair

3

u/DeepHouseBear Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

I'm with you.

1

u/SnapHackelPop Milwaukee Brewers • Seattle Mariners 15h ago

As it should be

0

u/Shmexy Atlanta Braves • San Diego Padres 13h ago

How can anyone who watched any angle of that hit be so confident it wasn’t going out? I do not understand.

I’m not saying it was a no brainer home run but my god it looked like it was on the way

37

u/UsErNaMeS_aR_DuMb Major League Baseball 15h ago

Frankly, I blame Pierzynski and crew for planting the thought that it could have been a homer into more people’s minds. Sure, the controversy would still exist if they had just kept their yaps shut, but I don’t think people would be so militant about it.

4

u/ketamour Los Angeles Dodgers • World Series Tr… 12h ago

For sure, that was a prime example of anchoring.

9

u/TakeMeToChurchill Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Impressive at how much y’all worked Miz’ pitch count. I was expecting him to have to work but absolutely not expecting that.

10

u/klongbor San Diego Padres 15h ago

- At the end of the day if we’re going to lose a game in this series I expected it to be the Miz start.

- I have no idea if it was going to HR or not and frankly it doesn’t matter because rules were followed, but it is SUCH an annoying thing to happen.

- We can’t expect to win with that many LOB.

- Manny and Tatis had fine box scores but put together some terribly un-clutch at bats.

- Merrill can’t go 0 for 5.

- Even though we lost, I think our pitching was deployed perfectly.

9

u/Comfortable-Space484 San Diego Padres 15h ago

Let’s bounce back and have faith King can go deep

25

u/mtportales Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

Brewers bullpen is just as nasty as the Father’s

15

u/UseAB1tchboy98 Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

Some would say it's number one given we had 103 wins and had a lower ERA.. but don't tell the FSN team that

4

u/straightlamping Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

It was funny when they showed the rankings. Pads bullpen were 3rd or 4th in era and such. 1 in strikeouts. The crew is 1st in era and such and 3rd or 4th in strikeouts.

38

u/Apoc_Dreams San Diego Padres 14h ago edited 13h ago

Man, the discourse around this roof ball is already so exhausting. From both directions.

Last night got out of hand with everyone definitively claiming that was a no doubt HR and the Padres got robbed. Now this morning is getting out of hand with everyone using Statcast data to say definitively that it would not be a HR, and would have been an easy fly out.

The real answer is that it is a completely nuanced and isolated situation. Every batted ball behaves differently. That ball was to the dead-pull side with a ton of backspin. Statcast does not take that data into play.

Both Ty France and William Contreras, who had the best view of that batted ball, said the ball would have went into the stands. Contreras literally said the ball would have “broke the glass” of American Family Field.

Every member of the press that was in the press box last night (from both Brewers and Padres side) said the ball would have went into the stands.

We’ll never know with 100% certainty where that ball would have ended up had it not hit the cable. However, in my opinion, the ball was definitely heading foul. France’s body language also seems to indicate he knew the ball was hooking towards the line.

Anyone claiming that they know 100% that the ball would have been a HR, or that it definitely was not a HR, simply is not correct and is coming from a place of emotion.

Ultimately, the correct call was made. It’s unfortunate that this discourse will never go away and will overshadow what was a very well played and entertaining game from both teams.

18

u/dernhelm_mn Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

This is an excellent and calm take. Small correction- the Brewers catcher is William Contreras, not Wilson.

2

u/Apoc_Dreams San Diego Padres 13h ago

Ah, thank you! Corrected!

3

u/tquad24 San Diego Padres 13h ago

a Villan and Padres fan? there are literally dozens of us!

4

u/LegitiamateSalvage Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

A good post thank you

5

u/ASK_ABT_MY_USERNAME Athletics 14h ago

"I'm so sick of people offering the opinion on what was going to happen to the ball, no one can possibly know"

the ball was definitely heading foul.

2

u/Heyzuus San Diego Padres 13h ago

Foul better than an out

2

u/ELITE_JordanLove 13h ago

France said he saw it fair tho

1

u/Apoc_Dreams San Diego Padres 13h ago

I literally said in my opinion. But sure I could have omitted the word “definitely”.

2

u/ASK_ABT_MY_USERNAME Athletics 13h ago

Every post is someone's opinion

1

u/Apoc_Dreams San Diego Padres 13h ago

You seem fun!

0

u/ASK_ABT_MY_USERNAME Athletics 12h ago

In my opinion I definitely am!

1

u/BurnThrowFireAway 11h ago

I also think it was hooking foul. As soon it hit the roof, it stopped hooking and descended down into fair play

0

u/MysteriousCap4910 San Francisco Giants 11h ago

Lol new to baseball?

0

u/Apoc_Dreams San Diego Padres 11h ago

Huh?

0

u/MysteriousCap4910 San Francisco Giants 5h ago

guessing you haven’t been around long

0

u/Apoc_Dreams San Diego Padres 4h ago

Bad bot

0

u/MysteriousCap4910 San Francisco Giants 3h ago

Padres fan since what? 2025?

5

u/cgfn San Diego Padres • Peter Seidler 14h ago

Screw roofgate. The padres had way too many chances and could not get the key hit

32

u/Reasonable-Front7584 New York Yankees 15h ago edited 15h ago

I want the padres to win the series

I thought it was a HR off the bat

When they showed the replay of it hitting the beam and said it may be a HR I got excited

I, like the majority of MLB fans, am unfamiliar with the rules of this park. It turns out there are ground rules for this stadium for this exact situation.

They made the call based off those ground rules. It’s the correct call.

It’s not even controversial. It’s a call made for a specific situation by the book.

-38

u/190octane San Diego Padres 15h ago

It’s controversial because the rules are stupid.

8

u/18khcl Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

While I agree the rule isn’t perfect, hitting a towering fly ball is something that shouldn’t be completely ignored (called dead or foul). Had the Padres (or any team) have tying run on third, the ball hitting the ceiling would have been a game tying sac fly. If you just call that a foul and the batter strikes out the next pitch, then people would be mad too.

I don’t have a better rule for this, I am just saying that it’s hard to come up with a not stupid rule.

0

u/190octane San Diego Padres 12h ago

I’m not sure what the rule should be either, but the way it is doesn’t feel like a great option. At least for balls hitting the roof deep in the outfield.

To me the best option is a replay like it never happened, but getting called out doesn’t seem right to me.

4

u/HGpennypacker Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

You should probably continue talking about it, that’ll help.

2

u/AppleBee516 15h ago

It doesn’t mean the rule was incorrectly applied though. It can be changes this offseason, but both teams played under the same rule.

1

u/190octane San Diego Padres 12h ago

I agree that it was correctly applied as it’s written, I just don’t like how it’s written.

If it happened the other way I’d be happy my team won, but I’d still feel like the other team got shafted.

-13

u/YoutubeAmazonChatGPT Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

Yeah it should be a foul ball or a ground rule double or something

12

u/Heuruzvbsbkaj 15h ago

Imagine hitting a popup to the shortstop and it’s a ground rule double. That would piss people off.

If it’s called a foul ball on a ball clearly going fair and home run it would piss people off.

There’s no solution that everyone would be happy with. These are the rules at every single domed stadium except Tampa which has its own set of specific rules.

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11

u/zip_bz Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Both teams would benefit from forgetting how the game ended yesterday and refocusing on today.

6

u/ScaredOfWindow 15h ago

We’ll never know where the ball would’ve landed. Could’ve been a fly out, could’ve been a homer, could’ve been a foul ball. The rules are the rules.

Now that that’s out of the way, I feel like both teams have to feel pretty confident after last night. Both generated a lot of scoring opportunities and one or two more clutch hits by either side could’ve broken things open and made this more like a 7-2 game or something.

Harris set the tone in his first at bat and it seemed like the Padres never let Miz have anything easy after that.  

-3

u/Embarrassed_Sink_541 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

I'm pretty sure physics has said that it was a fly out in 29 of 30 ball parks.

8

u/ScaredOfWindow 15h ago

I haven’t seen any physicists comment on it. I just keep seeing the same Statcast report referenced, which only accounts for similar situations in its own era of existence. As such, I don’t think we can take it as 100% evidence.

I do agree that I don’t think it was going to a home run. But I still think it’s best to just say that we’ll never know for certain. I’d much prefer to talk about the stuff that we do know.

1

u/SwAeromotion Chicago Cubs 14h ago

This assumes it stays a fair ball which cannot be assumed by that same data.

5

u/ken_NT San Diego Padres 15h ago

Robbie Ray only going 2.2 innings was rough. Both teams using up their bullpen last night. I’m expecting today’s game to be a pitchers duel.

4

u/_SomebodysCloser_ San Diego Padres 15h ago

Well, can’t really argue with a rule that was in place before the game started and both teams had to play under. We can argue all day about how stupid the rule is, but with it being in place all of the “Statcast this”, “trajectory that” really doesn’t matter. As a Padres fan, that fucking sucked and of course at a minimum I thought it should be a foul ball or “redo” instead of an out, but whatever.

Ultimately, we left wayyyy too many ducks on the pond, which is unacceptable in a game we pushed Miz out after 4 innings. That said, that was always the most difficult of the first three games to imagine us winning. Hopefully the boys place a giant chip on their shoulder and respond by doing what they always planned to do — steal game 2 in Milwaukee and return to Petco with home field advantage.

18

u/ImNotGandalf Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Day 2 and it still wouldn't have been a home run.

4

u/SP4CEM4N_SPIFF Chicago Cubs 15h ago

How did the roof make the ball go further than the statcast projection?

10

u/ImNotGandalf Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Real answer: backspin of the ball, watch the wide angle

Fake answer: math itself conspired with Rob Manfred, the hamburgler and Ryan Braun, while injecting himself with steroids, to put the roof there

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-3

u/northerncal San Francisco Giants 15h ago

The roof gives +50 ft to would be ball distance, but also knocks it down in play, duh.

I don't make the rules (I did just make the rules)

22

u/LeaningLeft Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

The Milwaukee Roofers vs. The San Diego Victim Mentality

23

u/Joementum2004 San Diego Padres • Los Angeles Angels 15h ago edited 15h ago

Any fanbase would be bitching if the same thing happened to them lol

-10

u/the_comatorium San Diego Padres 15h ago

Every. Single. One.

Plus, we haven't won a world series ever. We deserve to bitch!

7

u/Cisco24 15h ago

Ahh yes the Milwaukee brewers, with all their World Series wins don’t deserve it either. Sad one of us has to lose :(

2

u/the_comatorium San Diego Padres 14h ago

I didn't say they didn't deserve it! I'm actually going to be rooting for the Brewers if you advance! I love that team man.

6

u/Joementum2004 San Diego Padres • Los Angeles Angels 15h ago

Even beyond that, Dodgers fans have won three titles over the last decade and they still complain about the 2017 World Series and/or Frank McCourt, or get extremely defensive about their team’s salary. They are one of the last fanbases who should be talking about “victim mentality” lol

0

u/NaturalNew2123 Major League Baseball 15h ago

three quarters of them starting watching baseball in 2024

-11

u/bayesff Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

For real, the Padres loser vibes afterwards make me so much more confident we're going to get the series now -- complete opposite of the "we're the hottest team going into the playoffs and can beat anyone" mentality

4

u/AWaffleofDivinty San Diego Padres 14h ago

Well it's a good thing fans don't play then I guess

-7

u/Automatic-Push-8045 15h ago

Bro, you barely survived with your best pitcher in the game and the roof saved you. I would check that confidence lol

-1

u/thecftbl San Diego Padres 13h ago

The irony of a Dodger fan saying another team has a victim mentality is the absolute maximum level of irony.

7

u/AcephalicDude San Diego Padres 15h ago

This proves that even if Padres and Brewers are both cursed franchises, the Padres are still the more cursed feanchise

18

u/Embarrassed_Sink_541 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Have we all calmed down now? The outrage was insane last night. Can we all agree now that that ball wouldn't have been a HR, and the roof rules are kinda dumb. These things can be mutually exclusive.

27

u/-THEUTMOST Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Announcers fault, honestly

4

u/bbatardo San Diego Padres 15h ago

I think it's just overall frustration from knowing how close it was for Padres fans. We get triggered by things like that since being a fan of San Diego sports requires accepting there will be pain.

3

u/UseAB1tchboy98 Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

You know, we're not much different

6

u/LegitiamateSalvage Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

The Brewers, famously known for doing well in the playoffs.

The shitty part about this series is thst both teams credibly deserve to advance no matter the outcome. They just cant

1

u/bbatardo San Diego Padres 14h ago

Yeah, ironically if you guys win the series I will shift to rooting for you to win it all lol

2

u/UseAB1tchboy98 Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

Yeah nothing against the pads ..besides that Machado guy

-1

u/T_i_d_e_s_ San Diego Padres 15h ago

Thank you, this should be the take away from this. If the ball hit the roof and wasn't caught, causing France to be safe, it would still be bs. We don't know if it was foul or fair because of the roof either, so there needs to be so sort of new rule here.

-30

u/JustLoSd San Diego Padres 15h ago

How can you say that wasn’t going to be a home run? It literally hit the ceiling right above the warning track.

11

u/ImNotGandalf Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Camera angles play tricks

6

u/Embarrassed_Sink_541 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Because we know the velocity, and the launch angle. We can use math and physics to figure it out.

3

u/jerrylessthanthree World Series Trophy • Los Angeles Dod… 15h ago

It still depends on the spin though

8

u/sixpackabs592 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

And that’s where the historical data comes in and only like 2 out of 40 hits of the same velo and angle got out (one was in Colorado one was with a tailwind)

2

u/GaryTheCabalGuy San Diego Padres 15h ago

So it could have been a HR is what you are saying and we just can't know for sure?

-1

u/sixpackabs592 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

Only if it had enough backspin to rip the cover off the ball, now I haven’t seen the ball after it landed so there’s a chance

0

u/GaryTheCabalGuy San Diego Padres 14h ago

Could have been a fly out, HR, foul ball, off the fence and not caught. Lots of things could have happened if the game was being played somewhere that didn't have an unnecessary barrier. Unfortunately, we will never know what actually would have happened

0

u/JLove4MVP Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

Unnecessary barrier??

It’s necessary for a stadium with a roof to have a support structure for the roof…

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2

u/FISHCOUPE San Diego Padres 14h ago

Not without the spin rate and direction.

3

u/KeonBroxtonAllStar Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

My man it was not above the warning track it was shallow-mid left field

-15

u/poopsinwoods San Diego Padres 15h ago

I haven’t calmed down, and I hope your team loses today, and I think it could have been a home run. Thanks for asking.

2

u/StinkySam1995 San Diego Padres 15h ago

If the padres win the series they need to win this game and take the next two at home. We can’t go back Milwaukee for game 5. Home field advantage in October baseball is a real thing.

I thought the padres came into the game with the right plan against their starting pitcher.

2

u/wegettacos 12h ago

I’m so tired of texting my friends about roof cabling.

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4

u/SnapHackelPop Milwaukee Brewers • Seattle Mariners 15h ago

This is all gonna take away from what was otherwise a damn close game. Miz got bottled up. Bullpen held it together when the chips were down. Padres offense can be lethal.

I think this is either gonna go to 5 or we drop Game 2 and San Diego takes the series at Petco

5

u/acamann Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

IMO the only take that matters is Chourio and he thought he was going to have a play on it the whole way

4

u/Joementum2004 San Diego Padres • Los Angeles Angels 15h ago

Regardless of everything yesterday, the Padres imo had a “Will Not Win This Series” type of loss yesterday. It was always going to be tough for them to win this series but losing a game like that (on top of blowing a 2-0 lead and all the missed opportunities) is how I know they’re going to lose this series.

3

u/[deleted] 15h ago

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1

u/UseAB1tchboy98 Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

Why would many say that? There's a reason the brewers won 103 games and their bullpen had a lower ERA than the padres this year. Brewers have been the best team in baseball for a while. They just don't have mainstream stars because Wisconsin sports will always be hated on by the main stream talking heads

-3

u/Joementum2004 San Diego Padres • Los Angeles Angels 15h ago

Yeah “losing 3-2 to Miz” is on paper not a bad result for them and what I expected, but the manner they lost and this whole controversy over the roof is so bad that I just don’t think they’re going to have a chance at winning this series anymore.

2

u/Automatic-Push-8045 13h ago

Just go be an angels fan lol

3

u/aaronjaiden Anaheim Angels • San Diego Padres 13h ago

Way ahead of you

1

u/No-Snow-7618 MLB Pride 13h ago

it’s a bo5 series. the fuck is this new fan energy

1

u/Joementum2004 San Diego Padres • Los Angeles Angels 6h ago

As I was saying.

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3

u/1sinfutureking Milwaukee Brewers 14h ago

That’s the kind of loss that can make or break a team. Some teams rise to the occasion afterwards, and some just collapse

2

u/ELITE_JordanLove 13h ago

Feels like Milwaukee losing game one of the NLCS last year. You have GOT to steal that one. 

1

u/poopsinwoods San Diego Padres 15h ago

just win today and they’re back in the driver seat..

2

u/moshlyfe Boston Red Sox 15h ago

That game really raised the roof!

1

u/Beetsz Cleveland Guardians 15h ago

What’s the O/U for how many minutes into the pregame show they take to talk about the homer?

1

u/TheYumaOnion San Diego Padres 14h ago

Our Jack in the Box head has the opportunity to do the funniest thing ever 🤫

1

u/Brilliant-Emphasis43 Los Angeles Dodgers 13h ago

I think any ball hitting the roof should be treated as a grand slam.

1

u/RogueModron Milwaukee Brewers 13h ago

I'm in Europe and just got done watching the game. Going into the 9th inning all I could say was "incredible game on both sides". Just entertaining baseball. Glad we got the W but hoo boy, that was a nail-biter.

I was especially impressed with how the Dads handled Misiorowski. I wouldn't call it a bad outing at all but they just did not allow him to catch a break.

It was good to see Yelich get a hit!

1

u/Got_yayo Los Angeles Angels 13h ago

I’m hungover and still pissed

1

u/Exatraz Chicago Cubs 13h ago

Like they've been all year, this Brewers team is relentless.

1

u/Existing-Stranger632 Los Angeles Dodgers 12h ago

I hope this series goes the distance. I can tell every game is gonna be great like this

1

u/itshurleytime Milwaukee Brewers 12h ago

What’s funny about the whole roof situation is that baseball fans have zero understanding of the roof's purpose, history and significance.

1

u/JeremyJammDDS Boston Red Sox 12h ago

The fact that not every stadium with a dome/retractable roof does not have rules for hitting the roof after years of dealing with Tropicana field is insane.

1

u/LighxningGG Los Angeles Dodgers • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham… 11h ago

They do.

Trop is the only one with special rules because they have obstacles that are lower.

1

u/greenbean2112 Milwaukee Brewers 15h ago

I’m sure a good night’s sleep has made everyone ready to move on

1

u/zman0728 San Diego Padres 13h ago

It's a terrible heatwave down here so unfortunately, quality sleep in a house with no AC is a fantasy... At least we don't have to wait long for more baseball 🥳

1

u/Fantastic_Age_4440 Toronto Blue Jays 15h ago

In Toronto with the roof open that would have been a nice double - triple if a certain someone was in left field

1

u/Myshkin1981 Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

In Toronto that ball would have somehow managed to get lodged under the wall

1

u/teag2 San Diego Padres 15h ago

Roof nonsense aside, I still can't believe that Sheets didn't pinch hit for Harris in the seventh. Felt like the most obvious pinch hitter in the history of baseball

2

u/Holdmydicks San Diego Padres 14h ago

Nah. Give me Harris all day. Dude grinds out at bats has phenomenal contact and has been incredibly clutch since we called him up.

2

u/_SomebodysCloser_ San Diego Padres 14h ago

Eh, I don’t think it was that obvious. There was one on with one out, and Dustin’s had been a high OBP guy for us. With Manny and Merrill coming up after that spot in the lineup, the goal was to get another man on the base paths and move Tatis over so our bigger bats could bring him in.

-4

u/Constant_Gur8912 15h ago

Quit your fucking crying. Save some tears for tonight. 

0

u/xmatakex 15h ago

Anyone else wanna beat a dead horse with me and talk about what could’ve happened with that ball?

0

u/HeavensRoyalty Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

The Roof gate

-5

u/DeepHouseBear Los Angeles Dodgers 15h ago

Analytics says not a home run.

https://giphy.com/gifs/XiLVqdK8O6OlX3T7uu