Not only is it doing pretty poorly critically, but it's also projected to be the biggest bomb of this year. Not one of but THE biggest bomb. And I'm sure this will definitely affect its chances during awards season

I can see it losing all of the major categories (Picture, Director, Acting categories, Original Screenplay), though considering Cruise's performance is said to be one of its highlights, maybe he might have a chance. Goodman and Huller probably aren't as lucky

It might still have a chance in the technical categories (Cinematography, Editing, Product Design, Makeup/Hairstyling, Costume Design, Score, Costume Design)

What are the odds of her getting both nominations?

Do you guys see any chance of Timothee or even Pattinson getting nominated in any acting categories for Dune Part Three? I’m sure both of them are going to absolutely kill it.
The film is also releasing much closer to the Awards season this time, so I think we can expect better awards results than Dune Part Two. But we never know, especially since the Academy has never exactly been fair to this genre for the most part.

Chalamet will have to contend with John Malkovich, currently the frontrunner for Wild Horse Nine according to most predictions, along with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise, I’m not sure how strong Cruise’s chances are given the film’s polarizing reception, but his performance is easily my favourite of the year. That ten minute monologue in the European Parliament is something I genuinely cannot stop thinking about.

Pattinson is a little more complicated. I’m convinced his performance as Scytale will be one of the highlights of the year, and he could certainly be in contention for Supporting Actor for Dune Part Three. However, if he gets recognised for Primetime, it would be in the Lead Actor category. Has an actor ever been nominated in both Lead and Supporting at the Oscars in the same year? Seeing Pattinson pull that off would be incredible, although I know that i am getting ahead of myself.

At the very least, I hope Timothee gets a nomination. It’s his last time playing Paul Atreides, and I’d love to finally see the role get the recognition it deserves.

Chris Evans
Mark Ruffalo
Scarlett Johansson
Chris Hemsworth
Jeremy Renner

And it was pretty legendary to watch it unfold between would this be Ryan Coogler possible Oscar win for best Director to Sean Penn winning supporting actor role. To the consistent bickering from both camps. Enjoyed every minute of it.

Edit:Spelling

Jodie Foster won her first statue for The Accused. The other nominees that year were Sigourney Weaver (Gorillas in the Mist), Meryl Streep (A Cry in the Dark), Glenn Close (Dangerous Liaisons), and Melanie Griffith (Working Girl). It’s a strong line up, but Sarandon‘s Annie Savoy is a comedy performance for the ages in the same league as Marisa Tomei in My Cousin Vinny.

I know the Razzies are divisive but recently I was thinking that they actually might have their work cut out for them this year. Because even though there have been a lot of great films this year; there have also been some real dumpster fires. It feels like every month, there are headlines saying ‘This is the new worst film of the year’.
So between Wuthering Heights, the Melania documentary, Desert Warrior, Mercy, Animal Farm, Scream 7, Return to Silent Hill, Psycho Killer, the live action Moana, Ice Cream Man, The Runner, Verity, Run Hide Fight: Jihad, and Citizen Vigilante this might be a very competitive Razzie awards. And knowing the Razzies, they’ll probably give Digger a few nominations.
So what do you guys think? Will this year’s Razzies actually be interesting?

2000- Emilio Echevarría (Amores perros)

2001- Steve Buscemi (Ghost World)

2002- Daniel Day-Lewis (Gangs of New York)

2003- Paul Bettany (Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World)

2004- Clive Owen (Closer)

2005- William Hurt (A History of Violence)

2006- Forest Whittaker (The Last King of Scotland)

2007- Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)

2008- Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)

2009- Christoph Waltz (Inglorious Basterds)

He’s obviously been gaining some love within the academy branch in tv realm. I think him getting nominated isn’t out of the realm. He’s in my top 5 right now & see him getting nominated.

Best Director will be very competitive. My prediction will change later on but for now, here's the 5 (technically 6) Nominees I think could get nominated for Directing.

Denis Villeneuve - Dune: Part Three

Olivia Wilde - The Invite

Javier Ambrossi & Javier Calvo - La Bola Negra

Christopher Nolan - The Odyssey

Martin McDonagh - Wild Horse Nine

Other possibilities:

Jesse Eisenberg - The Debut

Alejandro G. Iñárritu - Digger

Phil Lord & Christopher Miller - Project Hail Mary

Tony Gilroy - Behemoth!

Cristian Mungiu - Fjord

Lee Chang-dong - Possible Love

David Fincher - The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Curry Barker - Obsession

Ryusuke Hamaguchi - All of a Sudden

Luca Guadagnino - Artificial

So reviews aren’t out yet but the buzz around it is not very good. It seems pretty negative actually and it is tracking low for box office sales. Seems like it’s being left out of awards conversations too.

Do you think it has any chance and maybe score a few nominations?

By below the line I mean movies that won Best Picture without winning any awards besides Best Director and/or acting and/or screenplay (in another words this is basically every movie that only won Best Picture and nothing else or also won Best Director and/or acting and/or screenplay and nothing else besides any of those 3)

Only 32 movies won Best Picture without winning any below the line awards

Actors like Tom Hanks and Robin Williams who were well known for their many silly funny movies didn't seem to have much of a problem getting recognized by the Academy for their more dramatic work. (Though Hanks is an interesting case, 'cause his first nomination for Best Actor was for one of his silly funny movies, that being Big (1988).)

But then when other actors best known for their whacky comedies play against type in legit. critically acclaimed dramas like Jim Carrey and Adam Sandler, the Academy doesn't seem to notice or care.

How come some funny guys have better luck with the Academy than others?

For the sake of this exercise, let's assume that the ten nominees that got selected for Lead and Supporting, were the same as the ones from the actual awards (eventhough that's a bit unrealisitic)

2026

Best Supporting Performance

• Amy Madigan, "Weapons"
• Sean Penn, "One Battle After Another"
• Elle Fanning, "Sentimental Value"
• Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, "Sentimental Value"
• Wunmi Mosaku, "Sinners"
• Teyana Taylor, "One Battle After Another"
• Benicio del Toro, "One Battle After Another"
• Jacob Elordi, "Frankenstein"
• Delroy Lindo, "Sinners"
• Stellan Skarsgård, "Sentimental Value"

Best Lead Performance

• Jessie Buckley, "Hamnet"
• Michael B. Jordan, "Sinners"
• Rose Byrne, "If I Had Legs I'd Kick You"
• Kate Hudson, "Song Sung Blue"
• Renate Reinsve, "Sentimental Value"
• Emma Stone, "Bugonia"
• Timothée Chalamet, "Marty Supreme"
• Leonardo DiCaprio, "One Battle After Another"
• Ethan Hawke, "Blue Moon"
• Wagner Moura, "The Secret Agent"

2025

Best Supporting Performance

• Kieran Culkin, "A Real Pain"
• Zoe Saldaña, "Emilia Perez"
• Yura Borisov, "Anora"
• Edward Norton, "A Complete Unknown"
• Guy Pearce, "The Brutalist"
• Jeremy Strong, "The Apprentice"
• Monica Barbaro, "A Complete Unknown"
• Ariana Grande, "Wicked"
• Felicity Jones, "The Brutalist"
• Isabella Rossellini, "Conclave"

Best Lead Performance

• Adrien Brody, "The Brutalist"
• Mikey Madison, "Anora"
• Timothée Chalamet, "A Complete Unknown"
• Colman Domingo, "Sing Sing"
• Ralph Fiennes, "Conclave"
• Sebastian Stan, "The Apprentice"
• Cynthia Erivo, "Wicked"
• Karla Sofía Gascón, "Emilia Pérez"
• Demi Moore, "The Substance"
• Fernanda Torres, "I'm Still Here"

2024

Best Supporting Performance - Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Holdovers” - Robert Downey Jr., “Oppenheimer” - Emily Blunt, “Oppenheimer”   - Danielle Brooks, “The Color Purple”   - America Ferrera, “Barbie” - Jodie Foster, “Nyad”   - Sterling K. Brown, “American Fiction”   - Robert De Niro, “Killers of the Flower Moon”    - Ryan Gosling, “Barbie”   - Mark Ruffalo, “Poor Things”  

Best Lead Performance

• Emma Stone, “Poor Things”
• Cillian Murphy, “Oppenheimer”  
• Annette Bening, “Nyad”  
• Lily Gladstone, “Killers of the Flower Moon”  
• Sandra Hüller, “Anatomy of a Fall”  
• Carey Mulligan, “Maestro” 
• Bradley Cooper, “Maestro”  
• Colman Domingo, “Rustin” 
• Paul Giamatti, “The Holdovers”  
• Jeffrey Wright, “American Fiction”  

2023

Best Supporting Performance

• Ke Huy Quan, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• Jamie Lee Curtis, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• Brendan Gleeson , “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• Brian Tyree Henry, “Causeway”
• Judd Hirsch, “The Fabelmans”
• Barry Keoghan, “The Banshees of Inisherin"
• Angela Bassett, “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
• Hong Chau, “The Whale”
• Kerry Condon, “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
• Stephanie Hsu, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Best Lead Performance

• Brendan Fraser, “The Whale”
• Michelle Yeoh, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• Colin Farrell, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• Austin Butler, “Elvis”
• Paul Mescal, “Aftersun”
• Bill Nighy, “Living”
• Cate Blanchett, “Tár”
• Ana de Armas, “Blonde”
• Andrea Riseborough, “To Leslie"
• Michelle Williams, “The Fabelmans”

2022

Best Supporting Performance

• Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story”
• Troy Kotsur, “CODA”
• Jessie Buckley, “The Lost Daughter”
• Judi Dench, “Belfast”
• Kirsten Dunst, “The Power of the Dog”
• Aunjanue Ellis, “King Richard”
• Ciarán Hinds, “Belfast”
• Jesse Plemons, “The Power of the Dog”
• J.K. Simmons, “Being the Ricardos”
• Kodi Smit-McPhee, “The Power of the Dog”

Best Lead Performance

• Jessica Chastain, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye"
• Will Smith, “King Richard”
• Olivia Colman, “The Lost Daughter”
• Penélope Cruz, "Parallel Mothers”
• Nicole Kidman, “Being the Ricardos”
• Kristen Stewart, “Spencer”
• Javier Bardem, "Being the Ricardos”
• Benedict Cumberbatch, "The Power of the Dog”
• Andrew Garfield, "Tick, Tick … Boom!”
• Denzel Washington, “The Tragedy of Macbeth”

2021

Best Supporting Performance

• Daniel Kaluuya “Judas and the Black Messiah”
• Yuh-jung Youn “Minari”
• Sacha Baron Cohen “The Trial of the Chicago 7” 
• Leslie Odom Jr. “One Night in Miami”
• Paul Raci "Sound of Metal”
• Lakeith Stanfield “Judas and the Black Messiah”
• Maria Bakalova "Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”
• Glenn Close “Hillbilly Elegy”
• Olivia Colman “The Father”
• Amanda Seyfried “Mank”

Best Lead Performance

• Anthony Hopkins, "The Father”
• Frances McDormand, “Nomadland”
• Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
• Riz Ahmed, "Sound of Metal"
• Gary Oldman, “Mank”
• Steven Yeun, “Minari” 
• Viola Davis, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
• Andra Day, "The United States v. Billie Holiday”
• Vanessa Kirby, “Pieces of a Woman”
• Carey Mulligan, “Promising Young Woman”

2020

Best Supporting Performance

• Laura Dern, “Marriage Story”
• Brad Pitt, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
• Kathy Bates, “Richard Jewell”
• Scarlett Johansson, “Jojo Rabbit”
• Florence Pugh, “Little Women”
• Margot Robbie, “Bombshell”
• Tom Hanks, “A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood”
• Anthony Hopkins, “The Two Popes”
• Al Pacino, “The Irishman”
• Joe Pesci, “The Irishman”

Best Lead Performance

• Renee Zellweger, “Judy”
• Joaquin Phoenix, “Joker”
• Cynthia Erivo, “Harriet”
• Scarlett Johansson, “Marriage Story”
• Saoirse Ronan, “Little Women”
• Charlize Theron, “Bombshell”
• Antonio Banderas, “Pain and Glory”
• Leonardo DiCaprio, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
• Adam Driver, “Marriage Story”
• Jonathan Pryce, “The Two Popes”

2019

Best Supporting Performance

• Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
• Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
• Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
• Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
• Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
• Sam Rockwell, "Vice"
• Amy Adams, “Vice”
• Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
• Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
• Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”

Best Lead Performance

• Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
• Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
• Christian Bale, “Vice”
• Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
• Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
• Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”
• Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
• Glenn Close, “The Wife”
• Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
• Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”

2018

Best Supporting Performance

• Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
• Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
• Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound”
• Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread”
• Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
• Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water”
• Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”
• Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
• Richard Jenkins, “The Shape of Water”
• Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World”

Best Lead Performance

• Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
• Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”
• Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water”
• Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”
• Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
• Meryl Streep, “The Post”
• Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name”
• Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread”
• Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out”
• Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”

2017

Best Supporting Performance

• Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight”
• Viola Davis, “Fences”
• Jeff Bridges, “Hell or High Water”
• Lucas Hedges, “Manchester by the Sea”
• Dev Patel, “Lion”
• Michael Shannon, “Nocturnal Animals”
• Naomie Harris, “Moonlight”
• Nicole Kidman, “Lion”
• Octavia Spencer, “Hidden Figures”
• Michelle Williams, “Manchester by the Sea”

Best Lead Performance

• Casey Affleck, “Manchester by the Sea”
• Emma Stone, “La La Land”
• Andrew Garfield, “Hacksaw Ridge”
• Ryan Gosling, “La La Land,”
• Viggo Mortensen, “Captain Fantastic”
• Denzel Washington, “Fences”
• Isabelle Huppert, “Elle”
• Ruth Negga, “Loving”
• Natalie Portman, “Jackie”
• Meryl Streep, “Florence Foster Jenkins

2016

Best Supporting Performance

• Alicia Vikander, “The Danish Girl”
• Mark Rylance, "Bridge of Spies"
• Jennifer Jason Leigh, “The Hateful Eight”
• Rooney Mara, “Carol”
• Rachel McAdams, “Spotlight”
• Kate Winslet, “Steve Jobs”
• Christian Bale, “The Big Short”
• Tom Hardy, “The Revenant”
• Mark Ruffalo, “Spotlight”
• Sylvester Stallone, “Creed”

Best Lead Performance

• Brie Larson, “Room”
• Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Revenant”
• Cate Blanchett, “Carol”
• Jennifer Lawrence, “Joy”
• Charlotte Rampling, “45 Years”
• Saoirse Ronan, “Brooklyn”
• Bryan Cranston, “Trumbo”
• Matt Damon, “The Martian”
• Michael Fassbender, “Steve Jobs”
• Eddie Redmayne, “The Danish Girl

2015

Best Supporting Performance

• J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash”
• Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
• Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
• Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
• Edward Norton, “Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)”
• Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
• Laura Dern, “Wild”
• Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
• Emma Stone, “Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)”
• Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods”

Best Lead Performance

• Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”
• Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”
• Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher”
• Bradley Cooper, “American Sniper”
• Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game”
• Michael Keaton, “Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)”
• Marion Cotillard, “Two Days, One Night”
• Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything”
• Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
• Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”

Also, this is largely just a thought exercise and not a comment on whether there should be gender-neutral categories or not. Regardless, the only way I see a path towards something like that, is if they open up Actor for everyone, while keeping Actress as is

Now having said that, which actors do you guys think would win in these years, if the categories were made gender neutral?

Charles Melton is one of my favorite performances in May December. He deserved an Oscar nomination for that. He even got snubbed at SAG and wasn’t shortlisted at the BAFTA. He has GG and CCA nominations. But the good news is he won at least a Gotham Award. He deserves it. He is my Best Supporting Actor pick even though I’m happy for RDJ when he won. So what you think of Charles Melton’s performance in May December?

She won the Golden Globe and was expected to get nominated for EVITA. It didn't happen. Why?

"You Must Love Me" did win an Academy Award however she didn't write the song so she was empty-handed.

Zendaya
Tom Holland
Mia Goth
Timothee Chalamet
Florence Pugh
Skyler Gisondo
Anya Taylor-Joy
George MacKay
Saoirse Ronan
Paul Mescal
Jodie Comer

Molly’s Game: It’s one of my favorite movies and Chastain was outstanding as Molly. Such a good performance, but I am not sure if that’s because I have a blind spot for her and Sorkin. He other nominees that year were:
Sally Hawkins — The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand — Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie — I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan — Lady Bird
Meryl Streep — The Post

I have only seen Three billboards and the post out of these, but it’s been a while.

We’ve completed the nomination round, and now it’s time to choose the winners.

The five performances with the most points in each category in Round One are now the official nominees.

ROUND TWO — WINNERS

This round is much simpler.

Vote for ONE nominee in each of the four acting categories.

That means your ballot should contain four names in total:

• 1 Actor
• 1 Actress
• 1 Supporting Actor
• 1 Supporting Actress

There are no rankings and no points system in this round. You are simply voting for the performance you think should win each category.

Each vote counts equally, and the nominee with the most votes in each category will become our Alternate Oscar winner for 2013.

Please only vote for the nominees listed below.

BEST ACTOR

• Leonardo DiCaprio — The Wolf of Wall Street
• Chiwetel Ejiofor — 12 Years a Slave
• Tom Hanks — Captain Phillips
• Oscar Isaac — Inside Llewyn Davis
• Mads Mikkelsen — The Hunt

BEST ACTRESS

• Cate Blanchett — Blue Jasmine
• Sandra Bullock — Gravity
• Julie Delpy — Before Midnight
• Brie Larson — Short Term 12
• Emma Thompson — Saving Mr. Banks

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

• Barkhad Abdi — Captain Phillips
• Paul Dano — Prisoners
• Michael Fassbender — 12 Years a Slave
• Jake Gyllenhaal — Prisoners
• Jonah Hill — The Wolf of Wall Street

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

• Julianne Nicholson — August: Osage County
• Lupita Nyong’o — 12 Years a Slave
• Margot Robbie — The Wolf of Wall Street
• Octavia Spencer — Fruitvale Station
• June Squibb — Nebraska

HOW TO VOTE

Simply post your four choices in the comments, for example:

Actor: [Name]
Actress: [Name]
Supporting Actor: [Name]
Supporting Actress: [Name]

One person per category. Four votes total.

Once voting closes, the performer with the most votes in each category will be declared the winner, and we’ll move on to 2014.

Previous lineups here.